Projection: How will parliamentary mandates be divided in Tirana?

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If the elections were to be held next Sunday, the majority of mandates in Tirana would go to socialists.

These were the results of the third national poll conducted by MRB and Euronews Albania. MRB analyzed the final data by also forecasting the number of mandates that would be granted to each party in Tirana.

Therefore, the projection for the capital, if the elections would be held next Sunday would be as follows:

  • SP – 49.6% (Results. 2017: 48.2%)
  • DP – 39.9% (Results. 2017: 30.8%)
  • SMI – 7.4% (Results. 2017: 13.4%)
  • Others – 3.1% (Results. 2017: 7.6%)

The projection includes the analysis of specific questions asked to indecisive eligible voters. The following results display how the division of seats for the capital would be:

  • SP – 19 mandate
  • DP – 15 mandate
  • SMI – 2 mandate

Compared to the 2017 elections, this projection shows that the difference between the SP and DP has narrowed significantly – from 19.4% to 9.7% – whereas SMI and other parties have suffered a drop – 7.4% from 13.4%; 3.1% from 7.6%

Methodology:

Euronews Albania’s surveyed on a country level 1.015 persons in the district of Tirana, as well as urban and rural areas over their general opinion on the April 25 elections. The interviews were conducted from February 25 to March 12, involving 48.8% male and 51.2% female eligible voters.

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