Barometer| Voting Trend and Projection at the National Level

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The Euronews Albania Barometer has conducted the final measurements for the May 11, 2025 parliamentary elections.

Specifically, the fifth national measurement was carried out, where 1,600 citizens were interviewed from April 24 to May 4 across the country, and the fourth measurement for the Tirana District, where 1,000 citizens were interviewed during the same period.

The methodology used in both cases is stratified random sampling, and data collection was conducted face-to-face, as in all previous measurements.

The national voting trend is as follows:

PS – 43.9%

ASHM – 29%

Nisma SHB – 7.2%

PM – 6.8%

LB – 1.8%

PSD – 1.6%

Other – 0.5%

Undecided – 9%

The national vote projection according to the Barometer is as follows:

PS 48.2% (46.2% minimum – 50.2% maximum) Margin of Error +/- 2%

ASHM 31.9% (29.9% minimum – 33.9% maximum) Margin of Error +/- 2%

Nisma SHB 7.9% (6.4% minimum – 9.4% maximum) Margin of Error +/- 1.5%

PM 7.5% (6% minimum – 9% maximum) Margin of Error +/- 1.5%

LB 2% (1% minimum – 3% maximum) Margin of Error +/- 1%

PSD 1.8% (0.8% minimum – 2.8% maximum) Margin of Error +/- 1%

Other 0.7% (0.2% minimum – 1.2% maximum) Margin of Error +/- 0.5%

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