On Wednesday, Euronews Albania’s “Barometer” analyzed and compared the pre-election polling projections with the official results of the May 11 elections as published by the Central Election Commission (CEC).
Here are the figures for mandates in the Tirana District for each party:
-
Socialist Party and Edi Rama:
According to the CEC, the Socialist Party secured 18 mandates. Barometer had forecasted a minimum of 17 and a maximum of 19 mandates. -
Great Albania Alliance and Sali Berisha:
CEC reports 13 mandates. Barometer had predicted a range between 12 (minimum), 13 (median), and 14 (maximum) mandates. -
Opportunity Party led by Agron Shehaj:
CEC confirmed 2 mandates in Tirana, matching the Barometer’s prediction. -
Nisma “Albania Becomes” led by Adriatik Lapaj:
Received only 1 mandate according to the CEC, whereas Barometer had forecasted 2 to 3 mandates—making this the most notable discrepancy. -
Bashkë Movement led by Arlind Qori:
Gained 1 mandate, in line with Barometer’s 1–2 mandate projection. -
Social Democratic Party (PSD) of Tom Doshi:
Secured 1 mandate in Tirana. Barometer had forecasted 0 to 1 mandates.
Overall, the mandate distribution largely aligned with polling projections, except for Adriatik Lapaj’s “Albania Becomes” movement, which underperformed compared to expectations.


