Voting Trend, Projection, and Seat Distribution in the Tirana District

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The Euronews Albania Barometer has conducted the final measurements for the May 11, 2025 parliamentary elections. Specifically, the fifth national survey was carried out, interviewing 1,600 citizens from April 24 to May 4 across the country, and the fourth measurement for the Tirana District, where 1,000 citizens were interviewed during the same period. The methodology used in both cases is stratified random sampling, and data collection was conducted face-to-face, as in all previous measurements.

Voting trend – fourth measurement for the Tirana District:

SP – 40.1%

ASHM – 28.9%

PM – 6.8%

Nisma SHB – 6.4%

LB – 3.5%

PSD – 2%

Others – 2.3%

Undecided – 10%

Barometer projection for the May 11 elections in Tirana:

SP 44.6% (minimum 42.6% – maximum 46.6%) – Margin of Error +/- 2%

ASHM 32.1% (minimum 30.1% – maximum 34.1%) – Margin of Error +/- 2%

PM 7.6% (minimum 6.1% – maximum 9.1%) – Margin of Error +/- 1.5%

Nisma SHB 7.1% (minimum 5.6% – maximum 8.6%) – Margin of Error +/- 1.5%

LB  3.9% (minimum 2.9% – maximum 4.9%) – Margin of Error +/- 1%

PSD 2.2% (minimum 1.2% – maximum 3.2%) – Margin of Error +/- 1%

Others 2.5% (minimum 1.5% – maximum 3.5%) – Margin of Error +/- 1%

Seat projection for the Tirana District. According to the Barometer, the 37 seats in Tirana are distributed as follows:

Socialist Party – (17–18–19 seats)

ASHM – (12–13–14 seats)

PM– (2–3–4 seats)

Nisma SHB – (2–3 seats)

Levizja Bashke – (1–2 seats)

PSD – (0–1 seat)

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